I’m like most old geezers, I guess. I get up in the morning a little stiff in the joints, but ready to grapple with the day. I trundle my 20-year-old psyche into the bathroom to shave, only to see a 70-year-old face staring out at me from the mirror. Most mornings, I just lather up and continue the morning ablutions, but now and then, I stop to study the reflection for just a minute and wonder what the hell happened.

Opinion

Change. How we deal with it depends not only on its scale but its rate.  Few species are better at dealing with the unexpected catastrophe as long as it hits us hard enough — and fast enough — to get our attention. A flood, a hurricane, a tornado, a typhoon, a blizzard, a wildfire or an earthquake summons up the best in us. We rush to our neighbors’ aid, feed them, shelter them, help them rebuild. More often than not, we undertake expensive public works to keep them safe from the threat of future calamities, subsidize their insurance and join them in shaking a challenging fist at the elements. “Move out? There’s no way we’re moving out. No friggin’ [fill in the appropriate offending event] is going to scare us off!”

But there’s one natural phenomenon that manages to slip under our communal radar. It doesn’t happen all at once. Like old age, it sneaks up on us one cloudless day at a time. The weeks and months and years go by, and everything seems the same until, one morning, we look more closely and see its withered, sun-scalded face.

Drought.  

The vast majority of us live in town, where precipitation of any kind — liquid or frozen — is an inconvenience. Our food appears miraculously on the shelves of the supermarket, and our water comes miraculously out of the tap. Every sunny day is a good day in town. Until it isn’t.  

As I write this, the snowpack in my corner of the South Platte River drainage in southeastern Wyoming is 2% of normal. Let that sink in — 2% of normal.

Across the state of Wyoming, the snowpack is 57% of normal. To the south and west, things are even worse — some of the drainages in southern Utah, southwestern Colorado and northern Arizona report 0% snow water equivalent, and even in the northern Rockies, the snowpack is below average.

It was a dry winter. And a dry fall before that. And a dry summer before that. In fact, the U.S. drought monitor shows that the interior West and much of the Great Plains have been in moderate to severe drought for the last 26 years. Before that, there was the six-year drought in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the two-year drought in the 1970s, and the extended 16-year drought in the 1950s and 1960s. One analysis of the dry spell in the American Southwest calls it a “megadrought,” the worst since the late 1500s, and possibly the worst in the last 1,500 years, which is why Lake Powell on the Colorado River is only 25% full.  

I’m not a farmer or rancher, so I’m not in a position to assess the trouble this drought has caused — and continues to cause — in the agricultural sector. I’m an ecologist by training, a hunter, angler, and ridge runner by inclination, and I can say that hardly a day goes by when I’m not reminded of the problems drought causes in the wild.  

In Wyoming, the failure of pronghorn, mule deer and sage grouse populations to recover to the numbers a few old hands recall from the 1960s and 1970s can be explained by drought. On the high plains of western Nebraska and Kansas, the drought has played a significant role in the ongoing declines in numbers of pheasants and a host of nongame birds. I know marshes in southeastern Wyoming — wetlands that once attracted thousands of ducks and geese — that have been dry so long they don’t even support a crop of weeds. Without enough snowmelt, our streams are anemic and too warm for trout, and our reservoirs shrink until the boat ramps are high and dry and the fish are stranded on mudflats. I don’t have to be a farmer to mourn the pernicious effects of drought.

There is a school of thought that believes this drought is just the most recent in an infinite series of dry spells that stretches back through the millennia to the last glaciers and before. The purveyors of this view suggest we hunker down and wait it out — there’s nothing else to be done.

Nearly 50 years of increasingly rigorous scientific analysis have proved that is not the case. We’ve helped deepen and extend these droughts, and we have a pivotal role to play in softening them.

Drought is a slow-motion catastrophe like the climate change that intensifies it. Are we up to the special challenge this kind of insidious trouble presents? I guess we’ll see. Meanwhile, the 90-mph wind howls at my windows and buffets the side of the house. The thermometer rises past 80 degrees in the afternoon, highways are littered with upset semis and 600,000-acre wildfires rage out on the prairie. In March.  

As the topsoil lifts off the fields and the sky turns brown, images from another era on the plains float like ghosts in the dust, conjuring memories of that awful time when a generation learned hard lessons about the land and their place on it. Back then, the fundamental problem was how and where we farmed. These days, we’ve added another dimension: our addiction to fossil fuels. We can’t prevent drought, but we don’t have to feed it. Those of us who intend to stay in the arid West would be wise to remember the lessons of the past: This isn’t going to get better until we change our ways.

Chris Madson holds a master’s degree in wildlife ecology from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and worked for state wildlife agencies in Kansas and Wyoming for 36 years before retiring in 2014 to...

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  1. Thank you for this essay. Spot on!
    We have a family ranch on the western slope of the Winds, and I have a small farm on the eastern slope. I have been studying regenerative ag for 20 years, and since we have had the bulk of our farm in Lander, we have been managing our lands to build soil and resilience. We are doing what we can to manage a dwindling resource (water) and we are constantly surprised by the pushback we receive.

    We producers tend to have a bit of a scarcity mindset, battling one another over water. But the real enemy is not our neighbors. It is the rapidly declining resource of water.

    We must learn how to tackle this problem TOGETHER, not recreation vs ranching, not residential consumptive use vs crop production, but TOGETHER. Otherwise we all lose, and the fallout from that is terrifying.

  2. I am a livestock producer, so I have a little more skin in the game than some others, and I’ve been saddened by our state’s devotion to the burning of fossil fuels.

    A vast preponderance of climate scientists have demonstrated a correlation between that consumption and our increasingly hot, dry seasons.

    Instead of the Cowboy State, perhaps we need to relabel ourselves as the Coal Miner State.

  3. Chris Madson says it beautifully. Until we change our ways of living with fossil fuels, we are going to continue to go downhill in many ways. Will we learn and change our ways in time???

  4. Thank you for the well-reasoned argument and for not pretending everything is going to be ok.

  5. Striking…. these two opinion pieces, side by side, published the same day, but so remarkably different in their appreciation of our corner of the world. One observes God’s natural creation and celebrates it, the other looks at the same but finds fault with one piece of it and concludes the gods are angry with us, and we need to make restitution. Had I awakened this morning to find myself transported here from another galaxy and tasked with choosing one of the two philosophies to hitch my wagon to going forward, I’d feel truly blessed. Thank you Walt.

  6. Thanks for your opinion Chris. Your first paragraph caught my attention immediately because I’ve thought the same things looking in the mirror. While I’ll agree with some of the readers previous thoughts regarding the climate as always in a state of change, in my 70 years living in Wyoming, I’ve never seen it this dry or the weather patterns so unstable.
    Thanks again for your piece. It’s appreciated.

  7. Thank you for sharing a personal, informed, and comprehensive view of climate change, and its effects. Too often the focus is the weather, which prevents us from seeing “the forest for the trees”.

  8. Thanks for saying it so plainly. Too many of us don’t see or understand the fossil fuel problem. We must do better. The changes I’ve seen in my 72 years make me so sad. I’m a nature lover and I believe we can reverse the situation with our intelligence and determination. But we have to have buy in from everybody. And our current administration is trying to do just the opposite of what we need. Denial of the problem is not helpful in any way.